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IFoA webinar: COVID-19 – Risk, Uncertainty, Psychology and Judgement


Dear SOAT members,
 
Mr. Tan Suee Chieh, IFoA’s President-elect, will be hosting a series of IFoA webinars across South-East Asia on “COVID-19 – Risk, Uncertainty, Psychology and Judgement”. The session for IFoA members in Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam has been extended to all SOAT members for free.
 
Date: 10 April 2020
Time:
10.45-11.00 (GMT + 8): Login via Zoom
11.00-12.30 (GMT + 8): Presentation and discussion
 
Dial-in details will be sent once registration is confirmed. The maximum capacity is 500 participants, so please sign up early to guarantee your place.
 
Mr. Tan will speak about the actuarial risk of the COVID-19 epidemic and the statistical factors which drive this contagion. He will initially use an actuarial risk-based approach in analysing the risk of infection and deaths, and contrast these to other risk types. There are limits to the efficacy of this approach because of the uncertainty, fear and biases inherent in the human psyche, and the complexity of extricating signals from noise. He will also discuss different risk appetites tied to personality profiles and the validity and role of rationality and emotions in mankind’s evolution. Participants are encouraged to participate in the discussions. 
Kindly note that the views and analysis presented in this presentation are of Mr. Tan’s personal narrative and not of IFoA’s official policy.
 
If you would like to attend, please reply to Caryn Chua with your full name, employer name and ARN (if IFoA member).